U.S. Real Estate Forecast From A Supply
Filed Under (Real Estate) by admin on 21-06-2009
18
On any given day, people can easily find articles and news stories describing an impending bust of the so-called real estate bubble. Despite this gloomy prediction, many experts believe that the recent slowdown in housing will be a gradual and modest readjustment rather than sharp bust or decline. These experts believe that factors that lead to a sharp decline in the real estate market are just not present in the current economic outlook. In fact, a recent study by the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University noted that “despite the current cool-down, the long-term outlook for housing is bright.”
The rise and fall of the real estate market is subject to the forces of supply and demand, and these factors point to stable and positive growth in the real estate segment.
SUPPLY FACTORS
Limited supply of real estate makes it scarce and usually pushes home prices up. In contrast, an oversupply of real estate tends to put downward pressure on home prices. Despite the current slow down in the real estate market, factors that impact limited supply favor continued growth in the real estate market. Some of these factors include:
1. Builders have readjusted growth plans in regions that have an oversupply of new housing. Over time, any excess inventory is likely to be depleted and equilibrium achieved between supply and demand.
2. The availability of land in certain regions, as well land use regulations and associated compliance costs will continue to restrict the supply of new homes.
DEMAND FACTORS:
Housing located in regions with high demand tend to be more expensive than homes in regions with low demand. Factors that impact the demand for housing suggests a favorable long-term housing outlook. Some of these factors include:
1. No current evidence of significant and across-the-board job losses; forecasts of relatively low unemployment rates.
2. Long-term increased demand for second homes, vacation homes and senior housing by baby boomers.
3. Long-term increased demand for entry-level homes by the children of baby boomers.
4. Long-term increased demand for entry-level homes by immigrants.
5. Long-term increased demand for entry-level homes by second-generation Americans.
6. Forecasts that the outflows and inflows of the U.S. population in and out different regions will not significantly impact the overall U.S. real estate housing market.
7. Relative stability in interest rates.
8. Continued stability in long-term home appreciation rates.
9. Overall, rising rate of wealth across all age groups.
SUMMARY
In summary, strong household growth, overall rising incomes and wealth, and a stable economy all bode well for continued long-term growth in the real estate market. While the overall housing outlook is favorable, affordability will continue to be a challenge, as wages, especially in the lower income levels, have not kept up with housing costs.
Watch the video related to real estate
some parts of the country, housing prices are falling at double-digit rates. A bad situation for homeowners, but a possible opportunity for investors. Money reporter Stacy Johnson explores what’s next, and who might benefit…
Help answer the question about real estate
How should I start off my path to real estate?
I am 16, and planning on going in real estate because it seems like hard work in that business pays off compared to other places and because I am very persuasive.
When I start my junior year at my high school.. I have about 2 free clases what do you think I should take that will help me with real estate?
I am going to go to “cal state san bernardino” after I graduate high school. So what clases do you guys suggest I should take there and what should I major in.. that will ultimately help me with my real estate journey.
Also someone suggested to me I should get insurance..220 license ,real estate, mortgage license? can someone explain to me what all that does?
Seller’s pay the agent’s commission. So the REO company already has that figured into their price. So if you can somehow circumvent the Realtor the REO company is just keeping that commission. In other words the seller keeps the profit, not you.
good advise
You have a LEGAL AND BINDING CONTRACT. all disclosures within the contract should be what the seller knows about the property. Now the other agent cannot FORCE you to sign anything. Basically what the agent is trying to do is cover his clients ass- if the selling side has a problem with it you can always take it before arbitration (see how they like that). Either way the selling agent is not within his rights to present other docs. for disclosures, nor do you let them off the hook. You will have no recourse if you do. Hope this helps.
stay out of the mainstream area;
that is, listing houses for sale.
become an exclusive buyer's agent.
Rep middle income and upper income
black women as a niche.
Also poke into doing commercial
and industrial purchases.
and maybe business brokerage
plus, interview different agencies–
most are Realtor focused; which
means they take listings. YOU can
choose not to do that via being
an exclusive BUYER's agent.
[they don't sell RE--they help
buyers buy, and that is a different
approach].
plus u can find those offices that
have 100% approaches [where
the agent pays for desk space and
does not split the commission.]
available to help -though I am not
in TN.
If you are talking about selling real estate as an agent, then
You can take real estate classes in college or you can go to a real estate school (this is what most agents and brokers do) you will have to take a licensing test from the state.
If you are talking about investing, then there are REITs you can invest in through a stock broker,
If you are talking about investing by flipping (buying and fixing then selling)
you will need to learn about costs of materials, value of real estate in your area, subcontracting for plumbing etc and have time for equity labor.
below is link to kaplan schools, one of the better real estate schools
Wholesaling definitely keeps your hands clean in this business!
One doesn't eliminate the other one. My broker is a Lawyer and his experience/practice is in Real Estate. After 10 years of practicing law, he decided to be a Broker.
Go ahead!
Question for submitter / director:
2:39 … is that a basement?
Russ Whitney has a great coaching program you may want to take a look at.
Good Luck
Sheldon Moylan of Dominion Lending Centres
Wow! what a great question from a 14 year old. a LLC (Limited Liability Company) is incorporated with the Attorney Generals office in the state it is established in. The best way to do that is to go to an Attorney. A holding company and a Development company may be combined into one, have different division or groups to do the different objectives, or even the same people.
You can never have too much money to start a company, it's the too little that matters. Your best bet is to save as much as possible, write up a business plan, go to friends and family for investment in the company before you start out and hope to have a minimum of $50,000 to $500,000 to start your company. Then you can go to a bank and borrow, usually 2 to 3 times that much more to make your first purchases.
Yes there are Capital gains even for companies to pay with investment properties.
When you are ready, have your board of directors vote to take your company public by registering with the Securities and Exchange commission, with the assistance of a Stock Brokerage Company.
Wholesaling requires no financing – not for the wholesaler – that’s the whole point – you sign up the deal and sell the deal to another who pays cash or provides financing. You get paid by selling the contract or double closing. You don’t need any money to do wholesaling. If wholesaling REO’s you will need earnest money deposits, but you will want to watch my video on wholesaling REO’s for the techniques.
I am a real estate agent in Australia with my own independent office.
I am not sure what courses are like through franchises, however, here, the courses with regular real estate schools are very good.
When you are looking to find an agency to work for, consider the following:
- do they regularly pay for training for their employees? what kind of training and how frequently?
- does management get regular training and upgrade their knowledge on changes in legislation etc (here we have special annual education to attend to stay in the know)
- what internal systems and procedures do they have that will assist people who are just starting out? for example, a good computer software and training resources in the office for when you get stuck on something.
- is there someone more experienced in the office that can mentor you?
I believe that a franchise is not necessarily the best, often all the training that they attend is in house, and they are not open to external training providers (which can be very beneficial).
You need to look at the individual operator of the office to decide if it will be a good environment to start your career or not.
Thanks man, your videos really inspired me to invest in real estate rather then the stock market.
I prefer to know where my moneys going.
i am an investor….people listen to this guy …one of the few that is offering practical advise.
Hey MIke. I saw all your other videos, but I do have a question. What type of financing did you use when you first started out wholesaling? (assuming that it wasn’t all cash since you just started out)
http://myitcareer.info/
So you can wholesale even if there’s an agent/realtor/broker involved? Doesn’t that cut in to your profits? And besides that, doesn’t that complicate negotiations?
Check with your local Howard, Perry & Walston school, or go to http://www.hpwreschool.com for all the info you are looking for. Good luck, it's hard but well worth it in the end.